
A | A plurality of Americans back what the United States is doing to support Israel in the war against the Islamic militant group Hamas and an additional 29% think the country should be doing even more.Still, a majority of the public also disapproves of President Joe Biden's handling of the conflict as well as a range of other issues, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll, a warning sign for him as he launches his bid for reelection.At least 1,300 people have died and 3,227 others have been injured in Israel after Hamas launched a devastating, gruesome attack from several fronts on Oct. 7, Israeli authorities said. Militants entered homes, killed families and took more than 100 captives back to Gaza, including women, children and the elderly. They also gunned down hundreds celebrating at an Israeli music festival.In Gaza, at least 2,215 people, including 724 children, have been killed as Israel has launched retaliatory strikes and other operations, with an estimated 8,744 more injured and those numbers expected to climb -- and tens of thousands more displaced, according to the Palestinian Ministry of Health.According to a U.N. statement on Saturday, almost 1 million people have been displaced in Gaza.Following Hamas' attack, Israel also cut off Gaza's access to electricity and water supplies -- a move that will not be reversed until scores of hostages are returned home, said Israeli Energy Minister Israel Katz. Members of the Israeli special forces entered Gaza on Friday in efforts to locate and free hostages, according to an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson. Officials in Israel say they have alerted 120 families that their loved ones are located in Gaza.Forty-nine percent of Americans say the United States is doing "about the right amount" to support Israel in its war with Hamas, while 29% say the U.S. is actually doing too little, per the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel.Only 18% say the U.S. is doing "too much" in the aftermath of the attacks. Republicans are much more likely to say the U.S. is doing too little to support Israel. Fifty percent of Republicans say this compared to only 12% of Democrats and 26% of independents. Most Democrats (65%) and independents (52%) think the U.S. is doing the right amount to help.These views differ from another major international conflict going on now, Ukraine's war with Russia. In this case, one in three Americans say the U.S. is doing too much to support Ukraine. A plurality (42%) says the U.S. is doing "about the right amount," while 22% believe too little is being done. On this issue, Republicans are more likely to say the U.S. is doing too much. A plurality of Republicans (44%) feels this way, compared to only 15% of Democrats and 34% of independents. Most Democrats, 57%, say the U.S. is doing "about the right amount" to help Ukraine compared to 35% of Republicans and 40% of independents.On Friday, the IDF called for all residents of Gaza to evacuate their homes and "move south for their protection" to an area south of the Gaza River. Yet that suggestion has been met with staunch humanitarian opposition. The U.N.'s Secretary-General António Guterres told reporters that same day that the push to evacuate was "extremely dangerous and, in some cases, simply not possible."A similar appraisal has been made by the World Health Organization, which said a mass evacuation "would be disastrous for patients, health workers and other civilians left behind or caught in the mass movement."The White House and senior Biden administration officials have continued to offer unequivocal support of Israel in the wake of Hamas' attack. During an economic address in Philadelphia Friday, Biden reiterated that support while also addressing the ongoing humanitarian crisis within the Gaza Strip."At my direction, our teams are working in the region including communicating directly with the governments of Israel, Egypt, Jordan, and other Arab nations and the United Nations to surge support and humanitarian consequences for Hamas' attack to help Israel," Biden said.He continued, "We can't lose sight of the fact that the overwhelming majority of Palestinians had nothing to do with Hamas and Hamas's appalling attacks. And they're suffering as a result as well."Despite the country's desire for the current level or increased support for Israel, in line with Biden's stance, a majority, 54%, disapprove of his handling of the conflict between Israel and Hamas. A little more than two in five Americans (41%) approve of the president's handling of the issue.According to a State Department spokesperson on Saturday, 29 Americans have been confirmed dead in Israel. Additionally, 15 U.S. citizens and one lawful permanent resident of the U.S. are still unaccounted for, the spokesperson said. Biden addressed the ongoing struggle of their loved ones in his remarks as well.A slight majority (53%) of Americans say the U.S. has a responsibility to protect Israeli civilians, per the new ABC News/Ipsos poll. Conversely, 54% say the U.S. does not have a responsibility to protect Palestinian civilians. An even larger majority (63%) say it's not the U.S.' responsibility to work toward Palestinian statehood. Half the country (50%) believes the U.S. does not have a responsibility to ensure peace in the Middle East, while 46% says it does.When asked which political party they trust to do a better job handling the war, Americans are generally split: 24% say the Democrats, 26% say the Republicans, 12% say both parties equally and 37% say neither party.That fracture is perhaps due in part to both party's internal divisions -- as progressive Democrats levy criticism of Israel's government and call for the protection of Palestinians while pleading with the Biden administration to establish a humanitarian channel in the region as Israel's attacks escalate.On the campaign trail, Republican candidates are taking aim at former President Donald Trump's recent remarks that the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah is "very smart" while warning of its threat to Israel and knocking top Israeli officials in the process. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, for example, told New Hampshire voters he would not be "throwing verbal grenades at the Israeli leadership" unlike Trump. His former vice president, Mike Pence, also in New Hampshire, lambasted Trump, adding that Hezbollah "aren't smart, they're evil." On CNN, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie called the former president "a fool."In the wake of the backlash, Trump released a statement saying "there was no better friend or ally of Israel" than he was.Meanwhile, Republicans on Capitol Hill are voicing increasing frustrations for their inability to offer aid, mostly due to the grievances of a small group of House Republicans leaving the body without a speaker.Heading into a presidential election year, Biden will have to battle low confidence in his leadership across a number of issues. A majority of Americans continue to disapprove of his handling of the economy, crime, climate change, inflation, gun violence, the situation with Russia and Ukraine and immigration across the U.S.-Mexico border. Approval of Biden's handling of crime and climate change has declined since the January ABC News/Ipsos poll.METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted using Ipsos Public Affairs' KnowledgePanel® October 13-14, 2023, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 518 U.S. adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 4.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 25-25-42 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents. See the poll's topline results and details on the methodology here.ABC News' Dan Merkle and Ken Goldstein contributed to this report.。

B |
昨天,秋天的第二个节气——处暑如约而至。

C | “处,止也,暑气至此而止矣。”处暑的到来,意味着暑气开始消退,酷热难熬的天气接近尾声。不过,对于杭州来说,当前副热带高压“余威”尚存,昨天主城区最高温仍有32.8℃、余杭区则跃上35.3℃,闷热不减。接下来,天气舞台上还有“捣蛋鬼”动作频频,本周“天气大戏”即将开演。处暑至 闷热不减 杭州开启晴雨交替模式当前,虽然暑热最盛阶段已过,但副热带高压仍“不甘示弱”,持续发威。据杭州市气象台消息,由于副高再度回归,杭州天气转为多云为主,出太阳的时间逐渐增多。不过,这段时间副热带高压的实力并不强,高压环流浅薄,无法彻底阻断低层水汽输送,在午后气温较高的时段,容易引发降雨甚至强对流,午后有分散性阵雨或雷雨的天气模式将持续到本周四(27日)。处暑期间,往往台风活跃。当前,西北太平洋和南海海域正上演着“三台共舞”——今年第18号台风“沙德尔”、第19号台风“紫檀”和第20号台风“简拉维”同时活跃。对浙江来说,上周日,“简拉维”和“紫檀”两个台风的环流,形成双涡轮的水汽传送带,上演了“急雨倾盆”的戏码。今明两天,强降雨“主战场”仍锁定在浙南地区,部分地区雨势持续强劲。据浙江天气网消息,今天东南沿海和浙南地区雨势较强,部分暴雨,局部大暴雨;明天主攻浙南沿海,依旧部分暴雨,局部大暴雨。

D | 有雷雨地区局部还可能伴有短时强降水,雨势汹汹。在此提醒大家,近期晴雨交替频繁,洗晒衣物建议优先选择室内晾晒,日常外出记得随身携带雨具,及时关注当地预警信息,防范突发降雨。超强台风“沙德尔”或奔向东南沿海为什么今年的台风这么多?当前,远在西北太平洋还有一个超强台风“沙德尔”不容小觑。中国天气网显示,昨天上午,“沙德尔”已升级为超强台风,从卫星云图来看,“沙德尔”环流庞大,直径约1000公里,结构对称、眼区清晰,对流旺盛。

E | 预计周二(25日)前“沙德尔”对我国无影响,但后期路径存在较大变数,不排除登陆我国东南沿海的可能性。“沙德尔”会不会影响杭州?市气象台预计,其走势完全取决于副热带高压的强弱,高压强势则台风南压、对杭州影响较小,高压减弱则台风北调,或将影响杭州周四(27日)后的天气走势。值得注意的是,无论“沙德尔”未来怎么走,都将给我国带来明显的风雨影响,浙江天气网预计周四至周六(27日—29日),受其外围影响,沿海地区将再次迎来中到大雨、局部暴雨。另外,西北太平洋上还有一个热带低压正在活动。中央气象台首席预报员张玲表示,这个热带低压存在成为下一个编号的台风的可能,并且在“沙德尔”逐渐靠近我国的过程中,它可能与台风“沙德尔”产生互旋,并为台风“沙德尔”提供更多水汽,成为影响台风“沙德尔”进入东海后的路径和强度的重要因素之一。若其正式生成,海面上将出现“四台共舞”的现象。中国天气网数据显示,今年1月至8月,每个月都有台风生成,且数量均多于常年同期。

F | 常年1月至8月平均生成13.4个台风,而今年8月尚未结束,生成总数已达20个,较历史同期偏多8个。为什么今年的台风这么多?“这与当前的厄尔尼诺状态密切相关。”张玲解释,在厄尔尼诺背景下,容易导致大西洋飓风生成受到抑制、个数偏少,但西太平洋的台风活动则会更加活跃。

G | 从目前台风生成个数来看,符合厄尔尼诺年的台风活动特点。

H | 目前,三个台风对我国华东和华南地区的影响是一个连续过程,无明显间歇期,未来需警惕持续强降雨引发的次生灾害及风雨叠加效应,同时“沙德尔”将正面影响我国华东沿海地区,强度较强、致灾风险高,需密切关注“沙德尔”的路径变化。
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